Saturday, October 27, 2018

Sustainable Saturday - Woolly Bear

Woolly bear, woolly bear, what is your weather prediction today?
Vestal Rail Trail, Vestal, New York, mid October 2018
Will we have a severe winter?  Or will it be mild?

In folklore, there is a belief that woolly bear caterpillars can predict the weather.

So, what is a woolly bear caterpillar and how do they predict the weather?  

You are looking at one of nature's marvels.  This is the larva of a moth that will hibernate later in fall, and sleep through the winter.  In fact, it can survive temperatures of up to -90 F (-67 C).

According to the Farmers Almanac:
"Woolly bear caterpillars turn into the Isabella tiger moth (Pyrrharctia Isabella). You can recognize these moths by their yellowy-orange coloration, black legs, and small black spots on wings and thorax. The Isabella tiger moth (Pyrrharctia Isabella) emerges in the spring."

Yes, come spring, the larva will wake up when the temperatures approach 50 degrees.  

See the orange band?  The narrower it is, the harsher the coming winter is supposed to be.

Folklore since our colonial days (prior to around 1776) has held that the woolly bears can predict the weather.  In 1948, according to the Farmer's Almanac, a scientific study was held at Bear Mountain, New York (in the southeastern part of New York State not that far from New York City) which seems to bear this out.  No puns intended, of course.

I seem to think that the orange band of the ones I see are the same size each year, regardless of what the winter turns out to be.

So, what our winter be like?  All I can say is, I wish we had some fall first!

Do you think woolly bears can predict the coming winter?

Day 27 of the Ultimate Blog Challenge #blogboost

8 comments:

  1. Haven't thought about wolly-bear caterpillars since the early '80's...

    ReplyDelete
  2. Interesting - I've never heard of this folklore before. We keep alternating between summer and winter this October.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I haven't seen any woolly bears yet this fall. I wonder what that means as a prediction of winter?

    ReplyDelete
  4. Alana,
    That's interesting! I always learn something new when I look through the Almanac! I heard we were going to have a tough winter. I didn't mind when I had a dog I had to walk but now ... it's not as fun. :)
    Thanks for this information!
    Amy

    ReplyDelete
  5. I love the 'coat' on the caterpiller.

    ReplyDelete
  6. WOW, this brought back memories! I use to love seeing all the wolly-bear caterpillars when I lived in upstate NY!

    ReplyDelete
  7. Fascinating story! I don't know if we get woolly bear caterpillars here in South Africa, but if we do, they'd have to be constantly changing their stripes as our weather is SO unpredictable this year it's ridiculous!

    ReplyDelete
  8. But how would they know? Is there some precursor that lets us know what the winter will be like? That would be the question.

    ReplyDelete

Thank you for visiting! Your comments mean a lot to me. Due to a temporary situation, your comments may not post for a day or more-I appreciate your patience.I reserve the right to delete comments if they express hate or profanity, are spam, or contain content not suitable to a family blog.